Same old story, same old act
One step up, and two steps back.
–Bruce Springsteen, One Step Up

Well, it’s official, the summer of 2008 has gone down as one of the worst in Raptors history. Every player BC acquired (Adams, Solomon, O’Neal) is now gone. Didn’t even last a season. Unlike Ukic, a Babcock draftee signed this year, remains). As I was saying the other day, when BC makes a mistake, he cuts the cord, damn quick. Well, as long as that mistake’s name isn’t Andrea Bargnani.

When you consider that Jason Kapono has also been a complete bust, is it now fair to say that every move Toronto has made since the end of the ‘06-07 season has made the team worse? Obviously, the summer of 2006 was a winner - our step up - but the last two? Duds, our two steps back.

Let’s take a look at the moves, and also note, this is just a list of transactions, and doesn’t include the most ridiculous thing the Raps did in the summer of 2007: Allowing Jorge Garbajosa to play on a broken leg for the Spanish national team in an Olympic qualifying tournament (even though Spain had already qualified for the Olympics). Argh.

• Bad: Re-signed Sam Mitchell. Should have brought in his own guy when he had the chance.
• Bad: Let MoPete walk away
• Good: Traded for Delfino, but bad because he couldn’t be re-signed
• Bad: Signed Kapono
• Good: Signed Jamario, good, only because of the size of the contract - they absolutely got their money’s worth. It’s not Jamario’s fault that a CBA cast-off was the best option the team had at SF and he was forced to play 35 minutes a night.
• Meh: Picked up option on AB
• Meh: Picked up option at Joey, although we could have used that $2.5 million last summer
• Meh: Signed Hump. Not a bad deal for an 8th man
• Meh: Dixon-for-Brezec
• Bad: Bought out and released Garbo and his expiring contract. Bad. Awful. Terrible. Worst move he’s made.
• Bad: Traded Rasho, TJ, Baston and pick for O’Neal; not a bad deal at the time, but this grade is based on final results, and the results are a 21-34 record during O’Neal’s tenure. Very bad.
• Meh: Drafted Jawai; don’t expect much from second-rounders.
• Good: Signed Jose, although if he can’t stay healthy, this’ll change.
• Bad: Signed Adams; as a result of O’Neal’s fat deal, this is what they were limited to. But Adams couldn’t even play.
• Bad: Signed Solomon; but he was terrible and cost them at least two games single-handedly.
• Good: Signed Roko Ukic. Couple mil for a promising young PG, can’t go wrong.
• Bad: Fired Sam Mitchell. About a year and half too late, and this just made it obvious Sam was never his guy, so… why re-sign him?
• Meh: Signed Jake Voskuhl
• Meh: Dumped Adams
• TBD: Traded O’Neal, Moon and a pick for Marion and Banks.
• Meh: Dumped Solomon for O’Bryant.

So in the final analysis, he’s made about 21 moves; I think it’s safe to count about 8 of them as the “non-impact” type moves that teams make all the time (like signing Hump to an extension): the “Meh” moves, that neither hurt nor help the team.

As for the others? Some may have seemed good at the time, but in the end, there’s only four that I count as good moves - and two of those are no longer with the team. (Not only that, but Delfino and Jamario both got bad raps - Delfino never got consistent PT and had his minutes jerked around, and Moon had to play so far over his head, he ended up hurting the team as much as helping it.)

Four moves, out of 21, that made the team better. Eight that had no impact. And eight that made them worse. Oh, and one TBD (the Marion trade).

Now, obviously, no GM has a perfect record and I don’t expect BC to have one either - not every move is going to work out. Some will fail, that’s the nature of this thing. And of course his record in his first year was pretty good. But still… you wanna be batting at least .500, don’t you? This is not good, folks.

Again, I’m not calling for Colangelo to be fired or Bosh to be traded or any of that crazy crap. I just consider it a slump, albeit an extended one; I have confidence that he will break out of it and start making some solid moves. And enough with the “we don’t have anything to make moves with!” Look at the Knicks, one year after Isiah left - a completely different team and who the hell wanted anyone from that crap pile? It can be done. It will be done. That’s what this summer is all about. In the meantime…

Well, in the meantime, we’ve got 26 games remaining in this here season. Each loss puts the playoffs further and further out of reach, and even though, technically, the Raps are still only five-and-a-half games back, realistically… there’s no chance. Look at the next 10 games:

@New York
New York
Minnesota
@Phoenix
@ Dallas
@ Houston
Miami
Utah
@ Philly
Detroit

Sure, the Knicks are struggling and the T-Wolves are not very good, so three straight wins isn’t impossible - although I think a split with New York is more likely.

But then it’s seven straight against +.500 teams. Yikes. Sure, the final 16 are a little easier - only 3 against +.500 teams - but still… that’s tough. I’d say the Raptors need to beat NY twice, Minny, Houston, Miami, Philly and Detroit to have a chance. That’s right, they need to go 7-3.

Yeah, that’s not happening. Throw in the fact that the Bulls and Knicks - both currently ahead of the Raps - improved their teams on deadline day, and Milwaukee and New Jersey are chugging along at slow-but-still-better-than-the-Raptors paces…

I can see Charlotte and Indiana falling back behind us, but the rest? That is one tough, uphill climb.

Anyway, enough about all that. Back to the action! It will be nice to finally see Marion play, and to see the Raps with their full lineup, and to see, well, the game - it’s on regular TSN! Hallelujah!

First meeting between these teams this year, and the Knicks, although they only have one more win than the Raptors, are a feel good story because no one expected them to win much at all (whereas the Raps are a huge disappointment). Donny Walsh has done a good job of acquiring players that fit D’Antoni’s system, much the same way that Colangelo did in Phoenix (conversely, since we have no system here, it’s harder to find the right kinds of players!). They run, they score, they’re aggressive in transition, and well, those are things that the Raptors are weak at. Could be a long night!

I just have to hope that the injection of Marion, and the Knicks’ lack of defense, can keep the Raptors in this one. But in the end, it’ll be the Knicks. By 9.

Tags: Bryan Colangelo, New York Knicks, Shawn Marion, Toronto Raptors

This entry was posted on Friday, February 20th, 2009 at 1:45 pm and is filed under Game Previews, Toronto Raptors, Transactions.You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.