Raptors head to Detroit tonight to take on the Pistons. It’s on TSN2 so most of us in Toronto won’t get to see it, but, frankly, that’s probably for the best. The Pistons are struggling and I think it’s well established this season: If you’re struggling, the best thing you can do is play the Raptors. Boston loses 7 of 9? Play the Raps and get a win. Atlanta loses 5 of 6? Play the Raps and get a win. Sigh.
This will be the first time the Raps face the Allen Iverson version of the Pistons, and they’ve been pretty up and down this season. They struggled a bit when Iverson first arrived, then went on a roll, and now are struggling again, losers of 5 of 6. They seem to be having a hard time integrating Allen Iverson and Richard Hamilton, and as such, the news from Detroit today is that Rip will be coming off the bench. Pretty interesting for a guy who just signed a contract extension - wouldn’t it make more sense to move the guy who is a one-year rental (Iverson) to the bench and keep the guy you see as part of your franchise’s future (Hamilton) in the starting lineup? That’s just me though…
All in all the Chauncey Billups trade looks like it hasn’t really worked out, but as has been speculated all along, I suspect the trade was more about money than anything. The Pistons will save a lot of money with Iverson’s and Rasheed Wallace’s expiring deals, and I think we’ll see a lot of teams trying to save a little dough in the next two years (and as I’m sure you’re all aware, Detroit is a town that’s been hit even harder in these times than most).
But for now, they’re trying to make it work with two high-scoring guards, and if the Raptors are lucky, they won’t get it all figured out tonight and the Raps will be able to steal a W.
Of course, knowing the Raps, that’s not likely to happen. As if their record wasn’t indicator enough (and as if the six straight losses weren’t enough), I’ve mentioned several times now their inability to bounce back from difficult losses, and Monday’s fourth-quarter collapse was another tough one. I don’t think they’ll respond on the road against a team that is hungry for wins like Detroit, and if it comes down to a close fourth quarter, who do you think is going to execute: The brain dead-Raptors, or the veteran, playoff-tested Pistons? And while the Pistons certainly don’t execute as well as they did with Chauncey, at least they have a couple of guys who, you know, are actually capable of getting a shot off in the final minute.
The key matchups tonight come in the frontcourt; with Hamilton on the bench, the Pistons will likely return to the starting lineup they had when he was hurt last month, with Tayshaun Prince at PF and Rasheed Wallace at C, along with Amir Johnson as SF.
This may actually work in the Raps’ favour. If Hamilton were to start at SF, that’d mean Moon would have to check him, and, well, Hamilton would murder him. The matchups are a little more traditional now.
But I’ll tell you what I’d like to see. Moon really needs to be guarding Prince - neither Bosh nor Bargnani should be guarding a perimeter guy like that. Amir Johnson is athletic, but isn’t much of a scoring threat (actually, he can score, he just isn’t a big part of the offsense with AI, Prince and Wallace) so even though he’s quicker than either of our bigs, Bosh or Bargnani should start on him, with the other on Wallace.
Assuming Parker gets the start at PG again, I think we also need to switch up the defensive matchups there - AP should be guarding AI and Joey G is much better suited to guarding Rodney Stuckey, who’s a big, strong PG that can get into the paint.
Defensively, I know the Pistons will likely put Prince on Bosh and leave Johnson to cover Moon, but that doesn’t mean the Raps need to play into that game. You just can’t have Bosh or Bargnani covering Prince; he’ll kill us.
Either way, the Pistons are all tough one-on-one defenders, outside of Iverson, who still plays the passing lanes as well as anyone. Ball movement and hitting open shots is going to be key, as is exploiting any matchups the Raps get if the Pistons go small.
Bench-wise, well, having Hamilton there means Detroit’s bench is about a billion times better than ours. Detroit’s got Jason Maxiell back there as well, who, though he has been up and down this year, has killed us in the past. There’s also veteran Antonio McDyess and of course, one of the few players who can make a legit claim to be a worse #1 overall pick than Andrea Bargnani: Mr. Kwame Brown! The bench is rounded out by Walter Hermann and Aron Afflalo who don’t play much.
For the Raps, Ukic will match up just fine with Will Bynum but against Stuckey or AI? Yikes. Hump and Voskuhl will have their hands full with Maxiell and McDyess, and if comes down to Kapono guarding Hamilton… yikes again.
Then there’s the Jermaine O’Neal factor. He said on Monday he’d play today; here’s me not holding my breath. Even if he does, he’ll be rusty and ineffective on offense, but he should be able to check McDyess on D. I’m not counting on much from him, whether he plays or not.
Really, even though this version of the Pistons isn’t as good as the Chauncey Billups-led Pistons, they’re still not a great matchup for us. Hamilton always kills us, so we have to hope that Iverson and Wallace have off-shooting nights (both are under 43% on the year) and that we can keep Prince from having a big game. On the Raps end, Bosh and Bargnani will both need to have good games - and they’ll need at least one of Parker, Graham or Kapono to step up with a big game of their own.
This Detroit team doesn’t scare me, but I still don’t think the Raps will be up to the task. Pistons by 9.
Tags: Allen Iverson, Chris Bosh, Detroit Pistons, Rasheed Wallace, Toronto Raptors

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